Obama presses ailing Europe to focus on growth

CAMP DAVID, Maryland (Reuters) – A growing chorus of world leaders on Friday pushed for a shift toward more pro-growth policies to help ease a European crisis that threatens to oust Greece from the euro zone and reverberate throughout the global economy.

Setting the tone for a weekend G8 summit, President Barack Obama aligned himself with the new French president’s drive for more economic stimulus in recession-plagued Europe, in a swipe at the tough austerity programs that have been spearheaded by German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Obama’s stance reflects his worries that the euro zone contagion, which threatens the future of Europe’s 17-nation single currency, could hurt the fragile U.S. economic recovery and his own re-election chances in November.

The Camp David summit kicked off four days of intensive diplomacy – including a NATO meeting in Obama’s home town of Chicago – that will test leaders’ ability to quell unease over the threat of another financial meltdown as well as plans to wind down the unpopular war in Afghanistan.

After White House talks with French President Francois Hollande, Obama said the two agreed that tackling the euro-zone crisis was “an issue of extraordinary importance, not only to the people of Europe, but also to the world economy.”

“We’re looking forward to a fruitful discussion later this evening and tomorrow with the other G8 leaders about how we can manage a responsible approach to fiscal consolidation that is coupled with a strong growth agenda,” Obama said before flying to Camp David and greeting fellow leaders for an opening dinner.

Merkel, who has insisted on the need for tough fiscal discipline to bring down suffocating debt levels even as angry voters have toppled some euro zone governments, seemed certain to find herself increasingly alone.

As Obama welcomed his guests one-by-one outside a rustic lodge at the presidential retreat in Maryland, he asked Merkel: “How have you been?”

She shrugged and offered a strained smile. “Well, you have a few things on your mind,” he said in a brief exchange captured by a boom microphone.

Her predicament could be underscored in the summit’s final communique that, according to a draft shown to Reuters, will stress “our imperative to create growth and jobs.”

GREECE MUST “MAKE UP THEIR MINDS”

Reflecting growing frustration as Greece’s post-election turmoil shakes global markets, British Prime Minister David Cameron called on euro members for decisive action and said the Greeks must “make their minds up” whether to stay in the euro zone.

No major economic policy decisions are expected from the talks but Obama will urge the Europeans to work harder at forging a comprehensive approach to their debt troubles.

World stocks fell to levels below where they began the year, depressed by the prospect that a Greek euro exit would spread upheaval in the currency bloc and engulf much larger economies such as Spain’s.

The European Union’s trade commissioner said for the first time that European officials were working on contingency plans in case Greece bombs out of the euro zone.

While Obama and Hollande found common ground on economics, their meeting also showed differences over France’s commitment to the NATO military mission in Afghanistan, which will be the focus of the alliance’s summit in Chicago starting on Sunday.

Hollande, a socialist sworn in this week as president, told Obama he would stick by his campaign pledge to withdraw French combat troops from Afghanistan by year’s end, earlier than the alliance’s 2014 timetable. But Hollande said France would continue to support the NATO effort in a “different way.

U.S. officials hope to convince Hollande to rethink the French pullout plan.

GERMANY ‘QUITE ISOLATED’

But the two leaders, meeting for the first time since Hollande’s election victory earlier this month, were more in sync on the euro zone crisis.

Hollande said he spoke to Obama about the need to put a priority on growth, and that they also agreed it was important to find a way for Greece to stay in the euro zone.

Obama’s administration spent heavily to try to tackle the 2007-2009 U.S. recession, and has long urged Europeans to do more to boost growth. Hollande is seeking to take the edge off austerity with more job-creating infrastructure investments.

Like Cameron, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper has been a frequent critic of euro zone G8 members’ handling of their debt woes. Italian premier Mario Monti was calling for growth measures even before Hollande did.

That could leave Merkel, who has used Germany’s status as Europe’s biggest economy to pressure others to keep a tight rein on debt, cutting a lonely figure at Camp David.

“Germany is absolutely quite isolated,” said Domenico Lombardi, a former International Monetary Fund official who now is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution think tank.

Lombardi said that while Germany had the upper hand when controlling debt was the focus, “it is now clear that Greece has become a systemic crisis” and this must now become the center of the debate.

A SOFTER APPROACH

While Merkel wants Greece’s continued membership in the euro zone tied to Athens meeting tough austerity measures laid out in its bailout program, Hollande was seeking a softer approach.

Hollande also said he favors Europe recapitalizing Spain’s troubled banks, which would mark a significant shift toward Europe taking over wider responsibilities from individual nations.

Backing calls for a concerted effort to boost economic activity, Jose Manuel Barroso, president of the European Commission, said there was a need to promote growth while putting public finances in order and this should be center stage at the summit. He insisted, however, that “we want Greece to stay in the euro area.”

The G8 summit comes as Greeks are pulling cash from banks amid growing fears about its euro zone membership. Financial markets are deeply concerned about the future of the entire currency zone, with Spain’s banking sector also under pressure.

Nearly two thirds of Greeks voted on May 6 for parties of the radical left and far right which oppose the austere terms of an EU/IMF assistance program. Talks failed to avert a repeat election, which is now set for June 17.

The “balanced approach” that Obama is pushing for in the euro zone is similar to his domestic efforts combining short-term stimulus and longer-term cuts to try to heal the U.S. economy and stoke hiring that has not recovered from the financial crisis. But the U.S. economy continues to struggle, posing problems for Obama’s re-election.

Mitt Romney, the presumptive Republican nominee to face Obama in the November 6 election, has made reducing the U.S. debt load, which has escalated during Obama’s tenure, one of his key campaign messages.

Also on the G8 agenda will be the price of oil. Obama may secure support to essentially pre-authorize a release of strategic oil reserves later this summer, just as U.S. and European sanctions on Iran come into force — this despite Brent crude hitting a 2012 low on Friday.

While the secluded Camp David setting discouraged protests nearby, an estimated 2,500 people demonstrated peacefully in a downtown Chicago plaza under the watchful eye of police, chanting mostly about economic issues that have little to do with the coming NATO summit.

(Additional reporting by Alister Bull, Jeff Mason, Caren Bohan, Stella Dawson, Elizabeth Pineau, Gleb Bryanski, and John Irish; writing by Matt Spetalnick; Editing by Mary Milliken and Christopher Wilson)


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Asia shares fall steeply on worries over Spain banks, growth

TOKYO (Reuters) – Asian shares fell steeply on Friday after more signs emerged of growing instability among Spanish banks and political turmoil in Greece, with the latest sluggish economic data from the United States adding to the list of risks for investors.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan <.MIAPJ0000PUS> was down 0.6 percent, after snapping a four-day losing streak on Thursday. The index slid more than 3 percent – its biggest one-day drop in six months – and hit a four-month low on Wednesday.

The index has shed about 9 percent in May.

Japan’s Nikkei stock average <.N225> opened down 1.7 percent.<.T>

Global stocks fell for a fifth day, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 <.SPX> index closed at a four-month low on Thursday.

U.S. data showed manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic states unexpectedly contracted in May, and new claims for jobless benefits last week held at levels suggesting slow growth in hiring.

Concerns about growth plus Europe’s worsening financial woes have given momentum to the flight to safety, boosting the yen to multi-month highs against the dollar and the euro on Thursday.

The euro inched up 0.2 percent to 100.81 yen on Friday, off its lowest since February 7 of 100.54 yen which it touched on Thursday, while the dollar held at 79.36 yen, also above a three-month low of 79.13 yen hit on Thursday.

But the euro marked a fresh four-month low of $ 1.26661 early on Friday and was expected to stay under strong selling pressure.

“Financial and asset market divergence in the Eurozone is likely to make the EUR (euro) less attractive to reserve managers, in our view,” Morgan Stanley said in a research note.

“The shrinking pool of available higher-rated assets suitable for central bank reserves suggests that the EUR’s weighting in reserves is likely to be questioned,” it said.

That would imply that the motivation to buy the euro for purposes of diversification is declining, leaving the single currency increasingly vulnerable, Morgan Stanley said.

U.S. June crude oil inched up 0.1 percent to $ 92.65 a barrel after settling at the lowest level since November 2 as the U.S. data raised concerns over demand. Brent crude was down 0.4 percent at $ 107.10 a barrel, after sliding more than 2 percent on Thursday to settle at its lowest since December 30 on concerns over turmoil in Greece.

Reflecting mounting risk aversion, the CBOE VIX Volatility index <.VIX>, a gauge of investor anxiety which measures expected volatility in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index <.SPX> over the next 30 days, rose nearly 1 percent to close at a five-month high of 24.49 on Thursday.

High stress levels were carried over to Asian credit markets on Friday, widening the spread on the iTraxx Asia ex-Japan investment-grade index by 6 basis points to its widest level since mid-January.

Financial instability in Spain deepened, with Moody’s Investors Service cutting the long-term and deposit ratings of 16 Spanish banks, including Banco Santander late on Thursday.

The government’s takeover of Bankia earlier this month has raised the prospect of more state bailouts for banks saddled with bad loans from a burst property bubble, lifting Spanish borrowing costs.

Also on Thursday, Fitch downgraded Greece deeper into junk territory, citing the risk that the heavily indebted country might leave the euro zone.

A poll on Thursday, the first conducted since talks to form a government collapsed and a new election was called for June 17, showed Greek voters are returning to the establishment parties that negotiated its bailout.

This projection offers some relief for European Union leaders who say that without the bailout, Greece would be headed for certain bankruptcy and ejection from the common currency, putting the euro zone on course for financial destruction.

(Editing by Daniel Magnowski)

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Lower oil prices ease load on consumers and Obama

NEW YORK (AP) — A threat that’s been hanging over the economy is starting to look a lot less menacing.

Oil and gasoline prices are sinking, giving relief to businesses and consumers who a few weeks ago seemed about to face the highest fuel prices ever.

President Barack Obama‘s re-election prospects could also benefit, especially if prices keep falling as some analysts expect. A majority of Americans disapproved of Obama’s handling of gas prices in an AP-GfK poll early this month. But that was before the full effect of the recent drop had reached drivers.

The average U.S. retail gasoline price has dropped 21 cents a gallon to $ 3.73 since hitting a 2012 peak of $ 3.94 on April 6.

The economy could gain, too. Consumers who spend less on fuel have more to spend on other purchases, from autos and furniture to appliances and vacations, that could help drive economic output and job growth.

The price drop will likely boost consumer confidence. It also comes at a timely moment: Ahead of the Memorial Day weekend, a busy one for travel and entertainment spending.

“It’s extra money in the wallets of most American consumers, and that’s going to help,” said James Hamilton, an economist at the University of California, San Diego who studies oil prices.

Lower oil prices also mean cheaper diesel and jet fuel for shippers and airlines.

Crude oil, which is used to make gasoline, is at a seven-month low of $ 92.81 a barrel. It’s down nearly 13 percent since May 1. Behind the steady drop are larger fuel stockpiles, easing fears about Iran and expectations of lower demand as the global economy slows.

The average national gasoline price is expected to fall as low as $ 3.50 a gallon this summer. It could even dip near $ 3 in some states. The national average is being propped up by refinery problems in California that have lifted prices well above the national average there, according to Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service.

A 50-cent drop in the gasoline price would save consumers roughly $ 70 billion over a year.

Earlier this year, oil and gasoline prices were jumping from already high levels. Global demand was rising. And production outages were reducing supplies. Tensions between Iran and the West over Iran’s nuclear ambitions raised fears that output from the world’s third-biggest exporter would plunge.

The price of U.S. benchmark oil rose to about $ 110 a barrel from $ 96 in the first three weeks of February. The price for international oil, used to make most of the gasoline in the United States, spiked even higher: to $ 126 per barrel from $ 110 over roughly the same period.

Gasoline prices in the U.S. appeared on track to soar past $ 4 a gallon nationwide. Confidence among U.S. consumers, already suffering from high unemployment and scant wage growth, would have likely worsened.

“People were prepared emotionally for $ 4.50 or $ 5 gasoline, so there’s a sense of relief,” Kloza says.

No one is yet overflowing with glee over current prices. So far this year, gasoline has averaged $ 3.67 a gallon nationwide. If sustained all year, that would be the highest annual average ever.

John Heimlich, chief economist at Airlines for America, a trade group, is among those who aren’t ready to cheer. Jet fuel prices dipped below $ 3 per gallon for the first time in months Tuesday, he said.

“I need more than one day below $ 3,” Heimlich said. “I need weeks and weeks and weeks.”

John Tillman, who runs Certified Carpet Care in Wesley Chapel, Fla., spends $ 4,000 a month on fuel for his vans that crisscross the state, visiting restaurants and other clients. He says gasoline prices are still way too high and he thinks the government should do more to protect small businesses from high fuel prices. But he’ll take any drop he can get.

“It’s helped some,” he said.

Hamilton and other economists say high unemployment and a weak job market are more important to the health of the U.S. economy than gasoline prices. Still, voters tend to blame presidents for high fuel prices, even if there’s little a president can do to influence them.

It’s less clear that voters give a president credit when gasoline prices fall.

Michael Dimock, associate director at the Pew Research Center, suspects that voters won’t exactly thank Obama for $ 3.75 a gallon gasoline. Still, it dulls a weapon that his presumptive Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, would like to use to unseat the president.

And Obama can look forward to further help this fall. After Labor Day, refiners can begin using cheaper ingredients to make gasoline because wintertime clean air rules are less stringent. That should push gasoline prices lower between Labor Day and Election Day, barring hurricanes that can disrupt supplies or other global events, says Kloza.

“History will be working on behalf of the Democrats,” he said.

___

Wiseman contributed from Washington. AP Staff writer Charles Babington contributed to this report from Washington.

Jonathan Fahey can be reached at http://twitter.com/JonathanFahey .


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